Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026
None
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAD
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.256 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.470 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.264 |
| Observed weight | 4% |
xwOBA
0.162
0.210
0.264
0.317
0.366
wOBA
0.249
0.356
0.475
0.594
0.701
ISO
0.013
0.062
0.116
0.170
0.218
K%
16.0%
22.4%
29.6%
36.8%
43.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B · small sample regression applied
56
Regression applied
Range Runs0.3 · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.9% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions73.1% · rebadged research
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
29
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
48
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
6 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.267 | 0.118 to 0.328 | +/- 0.105 |
| ISO | 0.129 | 0.001 to 0.213 | +/- 0.106 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 6.4% | +/- 3.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.8% | 12.5% to 47.0% | +/- 17.3% |
| K% | 30.3% | 11.2% to 39.5% | +/- 14.1% |
| BB% | 8.3% | 2.0% to 9.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.136 to 0.372 | +/- 0.118 |
vs LHP
4 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.2% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 2.0% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |