Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Rave, John
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
88
Exit velocity83.5
9
Hard-hit%34.8%
33
xBA0.319
52
xSLG0.540
62
xwOBA0.319
67
BB%8.1%
46
Bat speed69.9
53
K%20.2%
65
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · RF
53
Arm Strength88.5 · RF
16
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
48
Range Runs0.6 · RF
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · RF
42
Sprint Speed29.1 · RF
91
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.6% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.1% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions69.1% · rebadged research
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
89
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
94
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.345 · validated
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
50 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 99 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 292 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.301 | 0.217 to 0.361 | +/- 0.072 |
| ISO | 0.164 | 0.062 to 0.211 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 4.5% | 1.1% to 6.2% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 39.7% | 27.4% to 47.8% | +/- 10.2% |
| K% | 25.3% | 17.8% to 32.5% | +/- 7.3% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 4.5% to 11.5% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.202 to 0.347 | +/- 0.072 |
vs LHP
31 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 11.7% |
| BB% | 3.9% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
178 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.127 |
| K% | 11.6% |
| BB% | 4.5% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |