Wallner, Matt
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.281 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.310 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Field-coordinate spray profile
78 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.054 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| Sample | 151 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 435 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 21 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.335 | 0.289 to 0.384 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.216 | 0.175 to 0.310 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 7.6% | 4.8% to 9.9% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.9% | 40.7% to 54.0% | +/- 6.6% |
| K% | 31.9% | 23.9% to 37.4% | +/- 6.7% |
| BB% | 10.9% | 7.7% to 13.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.279 | 0.215 to 0.331 | +/- 0.058 |
215 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.232 |
| K% | 22.4% |
| BB% | 7.3% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
821 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.275 |
| K% | 24.9% |
| BB% | 8.5% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |