Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
Walls, Taylor
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TB
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 30
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.242 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.260 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
xwOBA
0.229
0.243
0.260
0.276
0.291
wOBA
0.270
0.293
0.317
0.342
0.364
ISO
0.065
0.087
0.111
0.135
0.156
K%
20.6%
22.2%
24.0%
25.8%
27.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.4%
83
+26 vs proj
Barrel%1.9%
12
Bat speed62.3
2
Exit velocity79.3
1
Hard-hit%17.0%
1
K%24.2%
37
xBA0.243
4
xSLG0.315
2
xwOBA0.242
6
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.7 · SS
34
Outs Above Avg2.0 · SS
81
Range Runs1.6 · SS
70
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · SS
76
SB Success Rate83.3% · SS
60
Sprint Speed27.8 · SS
65
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.0% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample
9
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
100 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.033 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| Sample | 161 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 395 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.274 | 0.232 to 0.319 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.110 | 0.073 to 0.226 | +/- 0.076 |
| Barrel% | 1.9% | 1.0% to 5.2% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 26.8% | 20.3% to 40.1% | +/- 9.9% |
| K% | 24.2% | 21.1% to 31.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 9.3% | 6.5% to 12.8% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.220 to 0.326 | +/- 0.053 |
vs LHP
480 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.199 |
| K% | 19.3% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |
vs RHP
1167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.203 |
| K% | 18.5% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |