Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.300 vs 0.262 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Ramos, Heliot
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
93
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.329 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.350 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.340 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.315
0.327
0.340
0.354
0.366
wOBA
0.319
0.338
0.358
0.379
0.397
ISO
0.154
0.170
0.187
0.205
0.220
K%
21.6%
23.1%
24.7%
26.4%
27.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%10.5%
98
+20 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%51.8%
94
xBA0.392
95
xSLG0.699
94
xwOBA0.350
84
BB%4.9%
13
-23 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
K%25.9%
32
-26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
47
Arm Strength92.6 · LF
50
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
11
Range Runs-1.8 · LF
28
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.5 · LF
57
Sprint Speed27.3 · LF
48
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.3% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4% · rebadged research
46
Correct Decisions64.0% · rebadged research
28
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
22
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
135 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| Sample | 247 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 612 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 21 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.329 | 0.307 to 0.371 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.177 | 0.130 to 0.251 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 7.0% | 5.0% to 9.4% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.2% | 42.8% to 55.6% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 21.2% | 17.8% to 28.4% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.5% to 10.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.273 to 0.359 | +/- 0.043 |
vs LHP
392 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.300 |
| K% | 20.1% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 8.5% |
vs RHP
964 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.262 |
| K% | 19.6% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 5.4% |