Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026

Ramos, Heliot

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.332 xwOBA
Range
0.310 to 0.375
Live Δ
yes
Team NYY Archetype Balanced regular Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
88
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
73
Defense4 metrics
24
Speed3 metrics
52
Plate skills10 metrics
48
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-08-31
xwOBA preseason0.332
xwOBA current pace0.326
xwOBA rolling p500.328
Observed weight64%
xwOBA
0.306 0.316 0.328 0.340 0.351
wOBA
0.296 0.310 0.326 0.342 0.357
ISO
0.139 0.152 0.166 0.179 0.192
K%
23.1% 24.3% 25.7% 27.1% 28.4%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-08-31
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
91
Exit velocity92.2
94
Hard-hit%50.2%
94
xBA0.364
89
xSLG0.629
85
xwOBA0.326
75
BB%6.4%
27
Bat speed71.1
73
K%27.0%
28 -31 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · LF
34
Arm Strength92.6 · LF
45
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
4
Range Runs-5.0 · LF
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · LF
62
SB Success Rate80.0% · LF
48
Sprint Speed27.3 · LF
47
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-08-31
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.8% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
46
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
43
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
67
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.264 · validated thin sample
84
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
46
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Ramos, Heliot · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.304 0.326 2026-08-20: 0.3222026-08-21: 0.3222026-08-22: 0.3222026-08-23: 0.3222026-08-24: 0.3222026-08-25: 0.3192026-08-26: 0.3192026-08-27: 0.3192026-08-28: 0.3182026-08-29: 0.3182026-08-30: 0.3202026-08-31: 0.326 2026-08-20 2026-08-31 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Heliot Ramos's tools (84) outpace production (79) by 5 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Passive In-Zone Approach
Pass Attack Pass Attack Attack Attack Pass Attack Pass

Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts

Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

175 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Ramos, Heliot · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsPull 11%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 18% of plotted batted ballsOppo 18% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-18 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 28.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 48.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -13.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -15.02026-03-19 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 109.9 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 39.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -3.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 48.9 / LA -70.02026-03-25 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 20.02026-03-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -29.02026-03-27 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 9.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -5.02026-03-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -4.02026-03-30 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -7.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 76.2 / LA 13.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -7.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 55.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.6 / LA 61.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.5 / LA 77.02026-04-02 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 2.02026-04-02 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 111.3 / LA 11.02026-04-02 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.8 / LA 18.02026-04-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -4.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA -3.02026-04-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 44.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA -41.02026-04-04 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -20.02026-04-05 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.9 / LA -6.02026-04-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 26.02026-04-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA 8.02026-04-06 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 65.1 / LA 30.02026-04-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -63.02026-04-10 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 9.02026-04-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -4.02026-04-10 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 50.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 42.1 / LA -31.02026-04-11 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.5 / LA 18.02026-04-11 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 2.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -10.02026-04-12 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 110.2 / LA 17.02026-04-12 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -6.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball2026-04-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 30.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 50.3 / LA -11.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 8.02026-04-16 · field out · SL · ground_ball2026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 37.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 25.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 36.02026-04-17 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 26.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 24.02026-04-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 110.4 / LA 11.02026-04-18 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 27.02026-04-18 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 15.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 56.8 / LA -43.02026-04-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 19.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 36.02026-04-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 108.5 / LA 9.02026-04-21 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 34.02026-04-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.4 / LA -19.02026-04-22 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -13.02026-04-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 15.02026-04-23 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -18.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 110.9 / LA 4.02026-04-24 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 1.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.7 / LA 24.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 4.02026-04-25 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 4.02026-04-26 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 15.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 61.1 / LA 51.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 108.6 / LA 18.02026-04-28 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 11.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -31.02026-04-30 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 43.02026-04-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 5.02026-04-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 19.02026-04-30 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 5.02026-04-30 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.5 / LA 39.02026-04-30 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 16.02026-05-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -9.02026-05-01 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.1 / LA -49.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 52.02026-05-02 · single · CH · ground_ball2026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -10.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 33.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -2.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 19.02026-05-03 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 6.02026-05-03 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 9.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 48.02026-05-04 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 6.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 44.8 / LA -1.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -18.02026-05-04 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 31.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -5.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 46.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.0 / LA -43.02026-05-08 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 109.3 / LA -1.02026-05-08 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -2.02026-05-08 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 12.02026-05-09 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 11.02026-05-09 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 5.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.5 / LA -38.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 18.02026-05-10 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 110.3 / LA 27.02026-05-10 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 19.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -50.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 58.1 / LA -5.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 22.02026-05-11 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -10.02026-05-11 · field out · FO · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -17.02026-05-11 · double · FO · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -7.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA -13.02026-05-12 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -12.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.7 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 109.3 / LA 16.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 58.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -15.02026-05-14 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA -2.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -15.02026-05-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 46.02026-05-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 28.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 28.02026-05-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA -4.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -38.02026-06-30 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 24.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.9 / LA -46.02026-07-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 31.02026-07-01 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 110.7 / LA 22.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA -2.02026-07-27 · field error · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 27.02026-07-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -24.02026-07-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA -32.02026-07-31 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA -36.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.0 / LA 27.02026-08-02 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 6.02026-08-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 52.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 39.02026-08-04 · force out · SV · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -13.02026-08-04 · fielders choice out · ST · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -3.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -27.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 10.02026-08-05 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 14.02026-08-07 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 15.02026-08-08 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -10.02026-08-08 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -8.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.4 / LA 35.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -21.02026-08-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -18.02026-08-14 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 31.02026-08-14 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 23.02026-08-14 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 17.02026-08-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 2.02026-08-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA -8.02026-08-15 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 10.02026-08-16 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.9 / LA 1.02026-08-16 · field out · SL · popup · EV 59.1 / LA 72.02026-08-16 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -11.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.7 / LA 47.02026-08-19 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.3 / LA 20.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA -14.02026-08-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 104.6 / LA 8.02026-08-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 56.02026-08-21 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -9.02026-08-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -25.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.4 / LA 44.02026-08-29 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 22.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 33.02026-08-30 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 26.02026-08-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -1.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Ramos, Heliot · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.3 mph Hard swing rate 16% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Ramos, Heliot · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.300 vs 0.262 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.006
wOBA Δ-0.006
Sample393 PA

positive regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances612----
Home Runs23----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3320.310 to 0.375+/- 0.032
ISO0.1790.132 to 0.253+/- 0.061
Barrel%7.5%5.4% to 10.1%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%47.2%42.8% to 55.6%+/- 6.4%
K%21.2%17.8% to 28.4%+/- 5.3%
BB%7.4%5.5% to 10.7%+/- 2.6%
BABIP0.2960.265 to 0.348+/- 0.041
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

392 career PA

xwOBA0.300
K%20.1%
BB%7.2%
Barrel8.5%
vs RHP

964 career PA

xwOBA0.262
K%19.6%
BB%6.0%
Barrel5.4%