Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.300 vs 0.268 xwOBA split).
Hitter projection / ATL · 2026
Harris II, Michael
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATL
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.339 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.340 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.319
0.329
0.340
0.350
0.360
wOBA
0.331
0.343
0.357
0.370
0.382
ISO
0.164
0.174
0.185
0.197
0.207
K%
17.5%
18.4%
19.4%
20.4%
21.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
86
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%48.4%
89
xBA0.361
88
xSLG0.598
79
xwOBA0.339
84
BB%3.6%
6
Bat speed72.8
88
K%19.3%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · CF
62
Arm Strength94.8 · CF
58
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs11.0 · CF
99
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.2 · CF
11
Bolts3.0 · CF
34
SB Success Rate70.0% · CF
26
Sprint Speed27.6 · CF
53
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.0% · rebadged research
7
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions59.3% · rebadged research
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline90
11
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.334 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · insufficient sample
95
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.299 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
274 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
| Sample | 581 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 582 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.338 | 0.315 to 0.385 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.117 to 0.230 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 4.9% to 9.6% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.2% | 41.9% to 52.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 18.8% | 15.9% to 24.2% | +/- 4.1% |
| BB% | 4.2% | 2.5% to 7.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.305 | 0.274 to 0.353 | +/- 0.039 |
vs LHP
632 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 17.5% |
| BB% | 2.7% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
vs RHP
1594 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.300 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |