Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Clarke, Denzel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team ATH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
33
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.260 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.193 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.243 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
xwOBA
0.185
0.212
0.243
0.274
0.301
wOBA
0.183
0.213
0.246
0.280
0.310
ISO
0.054
0.081
0.110
0.139
0.166
K%
25.1%
28.1%
31.4%
34.7%
37.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
34
Exit velocity87.7
42
Hard-hit%50.0%
90
+45 vs proj
xBA0.303
28
xSLG0.353
5
xwOBA0.193
1
-23 vs proj
BB%6.6%
24
Bat speed70.4
64
K%36.8%
2
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength91.4 · CF
39
Outs Above Avg2.0 · CF
89
Arm Runs-0.5 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs1.4 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts4.0 · CF
49
Sprint Speed28.5 · CF
83
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.8% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
86
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
77
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
43 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.089 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| Sample | 76 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 280 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.282 | 0.181 to 0.333 | +/- 0.076 |
| ISO | 0.155 | 0.073 to 0.222 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.1% to 7.0% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.6% | 25.5% to 46.9% | +/- 10.7% |
| K% | 30.2% | 21.5% to 37.6% | +/- 8.1% |
| BB% | 5.4% | 2.2% to 8.3% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.318 | 0.249 to 0.382 | +/- 0.067 |
vs LHP
34 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.104 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 2.1% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |
vs RHP
134 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.099 |
| K% | 15.8% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |