Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Garcia, Maikel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.322 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.303
0.315
0.328
0.341
0.353
wOBA
0.291
0.309
0.328
0.348
0.366
ISO
0.103
0.118
0.134
0.150
0.165
K%
12.4%
13.6%
14.9%
16.2%
17.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.6%
45
Barrel%3.1%
25
-19 vs proj
Bat speed70.3
60
Exit velocity89.8
67
Hard-hit%42.1%
60
K%14.5%
88
xBA0.333
61
xSLG0.445
29
xwOBA0.322
61
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
46
Arm Strength89.1 · 3B
76
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 3B
96
Range Runs4.4 · 3B
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · 3B
46
SB Success Rate57.1% · 3B
10
Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B
65
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.1% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.7% · rebadged research
9
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.314 · validated
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
191 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.004 |
| Sample | 256 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 608 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.333 | 0.311 to 0.374 | +/- 0.031 |
| ISO | 0.148 | 0.111 to 0.229 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 4.7% | 2.3% to 6.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.6% | 41.6% to 53.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 14.7% | 12.7% to 21.1% | +/- 4.2% |
| BB% | 8.4% | 6.3% to 11.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.275 to 0.348 | +/- 0.037 |
vs LHP
443 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.290 |
| K% | 13.3% |
| BB% | 7.8% |
| Barrel | 3.8% |
vs RHP
1467 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.277 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 3.0% |