Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAD · 2026

None

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.284 xwOBA
Range
0.108 to 0.317
Live Δ
--
Team LAD Archetype Balanced regular Age 27 Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.258
xwOBA current pace0.097
xwOBA rolling p500.242
Observed weight9%
xwOBA
0.148 0.192 0.242 0.292 0.337
wOBA
0.248 0.310 0.378 0.446 0.507
ISO
0.021 0.065 0.114 0.162 0.206
K%
7.4% 13.6% 20.5% 27.3% 33.5%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.1 · C
Small sample
Framing Runs0.1 · C
Small sample
Pop Time2.0 · C
Small sample
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

10 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Alfonzo, Eliezer · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 90% of plotted batted ballsCenter 90%Right field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsOppo 0% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -29.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -34.02026-03-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 20.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -27.02026-03-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 5.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -43.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 47.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 17.02026-03-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 7.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 43.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Alfonzo, Eliezer · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 56%56%Chase: 29%29%Whiff: 13%13%Zone contact: 94%94%Contact: 87%87%Hard hit: 16%16% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances200----
Home Runs7----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2840.108 to 0.317+/- 0.104
ISO0.1390.022 to 0.225+/- 0.102
Barrel%3.6%0.2% to 6.0%+/- 2.9%
Hard-Hit%33.3%6.0% to 37.8%+/- 15.9%
K%24.7%6.4% to 35.1%+/- 14.4%
BB%8.7%0.6% to 9.5%+/- 4.4%
BABIP0.2860.136 to 0.359+/- 0.112
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

2 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%0.1%
BB%0.3%
Barrel0.0%