Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / HOU · 2026
Diaz, Yainer
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team HOU
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
44
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
44
Exit velocity88.1
52
Hard-hit%36.0%
38
xBA0.315
46
xSLG0.471
38
xwOBA0.299
44
BB%3.8%
8
Bat speed70.9
71
K%16.2%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.3 · C
44
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
45
Framing Runs-3.1 · C
18
Pop Time2.0 · C
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
19
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 54.0% · rebadged research
9
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions63.8% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
33
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
74
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
145 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 290 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 556 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.333 | 0.304 to 0.378 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.154 | 0.106 to 0.226 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 5.9% | 4.9% to 8.7% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.6% | 40.7% to 52.1% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 18.2% | 14.0% to 22.6% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 4.1% | 2.8% to 7.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.278 to 0.352 | +/- 0.037 |
vs LHP
423 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.293 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 4.4% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |
vs RHP
1225 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.285 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |