Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TB · 2026
DeLuca, Jonny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TB
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.268 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.253
0.266
0.281
0.297
0.310
wOBA
0.308
0.324
0.342
0.361
0.377
ISO
0.121
0.136
0.153
0.170
0.186
K%
16.5%
17.9%
19.5%
21.1%
22.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.6%
18
Exit velocity84.2
12
Hard-hit%29.5%
15
xBA0.301
29
xSLG0.434
26
xwOBA0.268
18
-19 vs proj
BB%4.2%
10
-16 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%19.5%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · RF
41
Arm Strength92.9 · RF
47
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Range Runs9.0 · RF
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · RF
41
Bolts28.0 · RF
82
SB Success Rate64.7% · RF
16
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
94
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.7% · rebadged research
18
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.9% · rebadged research
54
Correct Decisions63.4% · rebadged research
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
67
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
60
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
21
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
161 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
| Sample | 308 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 276 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.293 | 0.241 to 0.345 | +/- 0.052 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.079 to 0.214 | +/- 0.068 |
| Barrel% | 2.7% | 1.0% to 6.0% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 29.4% | 24.2% to 39.5% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 20.6% | 15.7% to 27.8% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 6.3% | 4.3% to 9.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.237 to 0.334 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.180 |
| K% | 13.7% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
328 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.173 |
| K% | 13.1% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |