Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / STL · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team STL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.288 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.553 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 9% |
xwOBA
0.254
0.282
0.312
0.343
0.371
wOBA
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
1.000
ISO
0.110
0.151
0.198
0.244
0.286
K%
15.8%
19.7%
24.0%
28.3%
32.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Range Runs-0.6 · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 50.0% · rebadged research
0
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
54
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline86
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
15 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 228 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 10 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.286 | 0.220 to 0.345 | +/- 0.063 |
| ISO | 0.198 | 0.132 to 0.324 | +/- 0.096 |
| Barrel% | 6.4% | 4.3% to 10.0% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.7% | 30.4% to 52.4% | +/- 11.0% |
| K% | 25.1% | 19.3% to 37.3% | +/- 9.0% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 3.6% to 12.1% | +/- 4.2% |
| BABIP | 0.266 | 0.174 to 0.329 | +/- 0.078 |
vs LHP
211 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.189 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 5.0% |
vs RHP
444 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.182 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 4.5% |
| Barrel | 5.6% |