Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026

Wagaman, Eric

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.312 xwOBA
Range
0.277 to 0.348
Live Δ
yes
Team NYM Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 29 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
34
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
42
Defense1 metrics
60
Speed1 metrics
13
Plate skills9 metrics
49
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.311
xwOBA current pace0.305
xwOBA rolling p500.310
Observed weight19%
xwOBA
0.277 0.293 0.310 0.327 0.342
wOBA
0.284 0.326 0.372 0.418 0.459
ISO
0.117 0.141 0.168 0.195 0.220
K%
16.3% 17.8% 19.6% 21.3% 22.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
34
Exit velocity86.5
29
Hard-hit%34.4%
29 -38 vs proj
xBA0.285
17
xSLG0.500
46
xwOBA0.305
47
BB%10.0%
67 +48 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
52
K%22.0%
52 -19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
60 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.6 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.7
13
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.2% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.7% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
59
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
62
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
59
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

4 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wagaman, Eric · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.305 2026-07-14: 0.3052026-07-15: 0.3052026-07-16: 0.3052026-07-17: 0.305 2026-07-14 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

17 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wagaman, Eric · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsPull 0%Center field third: 76% of plotted batted ballsCenter 76%Right field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsOppo 24% LF 335 CF 408 RF 330 2026-03-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 7.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 34.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 4.02026-03-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -16.02026-03-17 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 76.3 / LA 52.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 29.02026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 3.02026-05-26 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -34.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 22.02026-06-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 9.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 28.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 47.3 / LA -22.02026-06-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 2.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -17.02026-06-24 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 71.9 / LA -11.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.4 / LA 5.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wagaman, Eric · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 76%76%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 34%34% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.006
wOBA Δ+0.060
Sample50 PA
Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances477----
Home Runs11----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3120.277 to 0.348+/- 0.035
ISO0.1510.093 to 0.216+/- 0.062
Barrel%4.9%3.1% to 7.6%+/- 2.2%
Hard-Hit%43.2%39.0% to 51.7%+/- 6.3%
K%18.9%17.3% to 24.7%+/- 3.7%
BB%5.9%4.1% to 8.8%+/- 2.4%
BABIP0.2910.261 to 0.324+/- 0.032
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

214 career PA

xwOBA0.238
K%14.3%
BB%4.0%
Barrel4.3%
vs RHP

414 career PA

xwOBA0.217
K%14.4%
BB%4.1%
Barrel3.6%