Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Young, Jared
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team NYM
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.264 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.326 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.242
0.265
0.291
0.317
0.340
wOBA
0.302
0.324
0.348
0.373
0.395
ISO
0.108
0.133
0.160
0.188
0.212
K%
17.7%
20.9%
24.5%
28.1%
31.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86
+40 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
65
Hard-hit%45.8%
79
+39 vs proj
xBA0.312
38
xSLG0.535
59
xwOBA0.326
68
+31 vs proj
BB%7.5%
36
-16 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%22.0%
52
+35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · 1B
96
Arm Strength84.6 · 1B
32
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
78
Range Runs0.5 · 1B
53
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · 1B
58
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.9% · rebadged research
41
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
63
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
62
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
28
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
42
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
51 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.054 |
| Sample | 173 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 224 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.159 to 0.318 | +/- 0.079 |
| ISO | 0.167 | 0.070 to 0.247 | +/- 0.088 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 1.2% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 19.5% to 42.1% | +/- 11.3% |
| K% | 29.3% | 14.7% to 38.0% | +/- 11.7% |
| BB% | 8.7% | 2.4% to 12.4% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.278 | 0.152 to 0.330 | +/- 0.089 |
vs LHP
19 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.061 |
| K% | 7.6% |
| BB% | 1.9% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
133 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.066 |
| K% | 7.7% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.8% |