Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Rocchio, Brayan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.296 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.282
0.293
0.305
0.318
0.329
wOBA
0.326
0.341
0.358
0.374
0.389
ISO
0.119
0.131
0.145
0.158
0.170
K%
14.1%
15.2%
16.4%
17.7%
18.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.4%
15
Exit velocity85.9
24
Hard-hit%32.6%
24
xBA0.308
34
xSLG0.434
23
xwOBA0.311
55
+17 vs proj
BB%7.5%
36
Bat speed68.3
32
K%13.1%
93
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.1 · SS
100
Arm Strength87.8 · SS
63
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
43
Range Runs5.5 · SS
90
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · SS
21
SB Success Rate61.5% · SS
15
Sprint Speed27.4 · SS
51
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.5% · rebadged research
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.301 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.396 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
77
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.063 |
| Sample | 373 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 458 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.265 to 0.338 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.122 | 0.098 to 0.213 | +/- 0.057 |
| Barrel% | 2.8% | 1.3% to 5.3% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.1% | 26.4% to 40.2% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 18.5% | 16.2% to 26.2% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 7.4% | 5.2% to 10.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.240 to 0.343 | +/- 0.051 |
vs LHP
321 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.222 |
| K% | 19.0% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
710 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.232 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 2.0% |