Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Pereira, Everson
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.257 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.304 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.270 |
| Observed weight | 29% |
xwOBA
0.209
0.238
0.270
0.303
0.332
wOBA
0.335
0.367
0.402
0.437
0.469
ISO
0.106
0.128
0.151
0.175
0.196
K%
24.2%
28.0%
32.2%
36.5%
40.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
83
+24 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
50
Hard-hit%42.9%
64
xBA0.334
63
xSLG0.618
80
xwOBA0.304
43
+21 vs proj
BB%6.7%
26
-21 vs proj
Bat speed73.0
89
K%28.1%
20
+19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
79
Arm Runs0.3 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs0.6 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · RF
52
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 53.7% · rebadged research
8
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 15.8% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
49
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.351 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
39
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
54 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.124 |
| Sample | 89 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 240 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.278 | 0.156 to 0.321 | +/- 0.083 |
| ISO | 0.141 | 0.062 to 0.180 | +/- 0.059 |
| Barrel% | 5.8% | 1.4% to 7.2% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.7% | 27.3% to 49.8% | +/- 11.2% |
| K% | 37.3% | 22.0% to 43.9% | +/- 11.0% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 3.4% to 11.6% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.167 to 0.335 | +/- 0.084 |
vs LHP
63 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.096 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
128 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 3.6% |
| Barrel | 1.6% |