Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Jiménez, Leo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.366 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 25% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.294
0.318
0.343
0.365
wOBA
0.235
0.268
0.304
0.340
0.373
ISO
0.074
0.102
0.133
0.164
0.192
K%
16.0%
19.2%
22.6%
26.1%
29.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.2%
42
Barrel%4.1%
36
Bat speed70.9
70
Exit velocity90.4
76
Hard-hit%40.0%
49
K%19.2%
66
+28 vs proj
xBA0.371
86
xSLG0.522
52
xwOBA0.366
86
+35 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
45
Range Runs-1.7 · 3B
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · 3B
69
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.1% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions66.5% · rebadged research
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
50
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324 · validated
79
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
47 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.055 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.008 |
| Sample | 73 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 241 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.205 to 0.319 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.073 to 0.229 | +/- 0.078 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 2.0% to 6.8% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.9% | 24.3% to 46.2% | +/- 11.0% |
| K% | 23.9% | 17.7% to 34.8% | +/- 8.5% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 3.0% to 10.0% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.202 to 0.349 | +/- 0.073 |
vs LHP
91 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.146 |
| K% | 12.8% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |
vs RHP
180 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.144 |
| K% | 12.1% |
| BB% | 3.3% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |