Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Jiménez, Leo
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.329 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.313 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.272
0.291
0.313
0.334
0.353
wOBA
0.250
0.273
0.300
0.327
0.350
ISO
0.089
0.112
0.139
0.165
0.188
K%
17.0%
19.6%
22.5%
25.5%
28.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity90.9
85
Hard-hit%44.4%
73
+33 vs proj
xBA0.333
62
xSLG0.489
42
xwOBA0.329
71
+16 vs proj
BB%7.4%
35
Bat speed70.3
59
K%20.6%
61
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs-2.3 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · 3B
68
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
43
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
24
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
56
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
58 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| Sample | 136 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 241 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.205 to 0.319 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.161 | 0.073 to 0.229 | +/- 0.078 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 2.0% to 6.8% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.9% | 24.3% to 46.2% | +/- 11.0% |
| K% | 23.9% | 17.7% to 34.8% | +/- 8.5% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 3.0% to 10.0% | +/- 3.5% |
| BABIP | 0.288 | 0.202 to 0.349 | +/- 0.073 |
vs LHP
91 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.146 |
| K% | 12.8% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 2.8% |
vs RHP
180 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.144 |
| K% | 12.1% |
| BB% | 3.3% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |