Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Vargas, Miguel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.388 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.357 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Miguel Vargas's tools (82) outpace production (75) by 7 points. Primary finding: elite raw contact quality undermined by swing decisions — the bat is dangerous when it connects. Also flagged: Launch Angle Too High.
Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
171 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.082 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.087 |
| Sample | 274 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 520 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 14 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.306 | 0.288 to 0.365 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.133 | 0.105 to 0.226 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 3.5% to 7.3% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.0% | 31.3% to 43.5% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 19.1% | 17.1% to 24.2% | +/- 3.6% |
| BB% | 10.1% | 7.7% to 13.8% | +/- 3.1% |
| BABIP | 0.263 | 0.236 to 0.300 | +/- 0.032 |
388 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.250 |
| K% | 14.1% |
| BB% | 8.8% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
849 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.247 |
| K% | 15.7% |
| BB% | 8.9% |
| Barrel | 4.5% |