Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Vivas, Jorbit
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
16
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.301 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
xwOBA
0.264
0.280
0.297
0.315
0.331
wOBA
0.296
0.312
0.330
0.347
0.363
ISO
0.061
0.078
0.097
0.116
0.133
K%
13.5%
15.4%
17.5%
19.6%
21.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.5%
16
Exit velocity82.1
5
Hard-hit%21.7%
4
-30 vs proj
xBA0.287
18
xSLG0.380
9
xwOBA0.301
46
BB%11.5%
83
+51 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
24
K%13.6%
92
+42 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
47
Arm Strength82.3 · 3B
12
Outs Above Avg4.0 · 3B
88
Range Runs1.9 · 3B
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · 3B
58
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
39
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.9% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.0% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions72.0% · rebadged research
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
92
Curveball Stuff+84
0
Mithrandir Stuff+67
3
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
41
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
86
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
152 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| Sample | 323 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 241 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.189 to 0.326 | +/- 0.068 |
| ISO | 0.124 | 0.038 to 0.204 | +/- 0.083 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.4% to 5.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.0% | 17.6% to 41.8% | +/- 12.1% |
| K% | 22.8% | 12.9% to 31.4% | +/- 9.2% |
| BB% | 7.0% | 2.2% to 9.9% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.215 to 0.352 | +/- 0.068 |
vs LHP
12 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.074 |
| K% | 6.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
vs RHP
80 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.081 |
| K% | 5.9% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |