Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Basabe, Osleivis
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team SF
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.270 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.272 |
| Observed weight | 31% |
xwOBA
0.226
0.248
0.272
0.295
0.317
wOBA
0.233
0.261
0.291
0.322
0.349
ISO
0.051
0.079
0.110
0.142
0.170
K%
14.4%
18.6%
23.3%
27.9%
32.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
52
+30 vs proj
Exit velocity86.7
37
Hard-hit%33.8%
28
xBA0.277
13
xSLG0.431
24
xwOBA0.270
19
BB%2.0%
3
-29 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
55
K%17.8%
78
+45 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.4 · 2B
53
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 2B
18
Range Runs-3.3 · 2B
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.6 · 2B
54
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.6% · rebadged research
14
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 31.1% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions58.6% · rebadged research
6
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
78
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
72
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.385 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline87
8
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
54 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| Sample | 101 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 201 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.281 | 0.164 to 0.285 | +/- 0.061 |
| ISO | 0.123 | 0.048 to 0.217 | +/- 0.085 |
| Barrel% | 2.9% | 0.3% to 6.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.6% | 20.2% to 48.4% | +/- 14.1% |
| K% | 25.9% | 12.7% to 38.2% | +/- 12.7% |
| BB% | 6.9% | 2.9% to 11.4% | +/- 4.2% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.193 to 0.364 | +/- 0.086 |
vs LHP
33 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.051 |
| K% | 4.8% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |
vs RHP
71 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.049 |
| K% | 5.0% |
| BB% | 1.5% |
| Barrel | 0.4% |