Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Mead, Curtis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.288 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.371 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Curtis Mead's tools (88) outpace production (81) by 7 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.077 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.106 |
| Sample | 170 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 356 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.294 | 0.250 to 0.348 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.108 | 0.060 to 0.181 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 3.5% | 1.2% to 5.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.5% | 28.7% to 42.5% | +/- 6.9% |
| K% | 22.0% | 18.0% to 28.9% | +/- 5.4% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 4.4% to 8.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.297 | 0.246 to 0.340 | +/- 0.047 |
223 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.203 |
| K% | 13.3% |
| BB% | 4.7% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
324 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.183 |
| K% | 15.9% |
| BB% | 3.5% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |