Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / NYY · 2026
Schuemann, Max
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYY
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.287 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.345 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 17% |
xwOBA
0.250
0.272
0.297
0.321
0.344
wOBA
0.673
0.713
0.756
0.800
0.839
ISO
0.082
0.111
0.144
0.177
0.206
K%
16.4%
18.9%
21.6%
24.4%
26.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · SS
Limited
Outs Above Avg-0.4 · SS · small sample regression applied
35
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.5 · SS
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · SS
61
SB Success Rate50.0% · SS
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.0% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.0% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions70.5% · rebadged research
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
27
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
22 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 363 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.292 | 0.239 to 0.345 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.113 | 0.056 to 0.202 | +/- 0.073 |
| Barrel% | 3.7% | 1.5% to 6.7% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 27.3% to 45.9% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 21.0% | 16.8% to 28.9% | +/- 6.1% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 6.2% to 12.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.274 | 0.201 to 0.312 | +/- 0.056 |
vs LHP
182 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.219 |
| K% | 14.3% |
| BB% | 7.5% |
| Barrel | 2.7% |
vs RHP
526 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.214 |
| K% | 16.5% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 2.1% |