Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.259 vs 0.212 xwOBA split).
Hitter projection / TOR · 2026
Barger, Addison
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TOR
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.328 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.256 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.316 |
| Observed weight | 17% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.298
0.316
0.333
0.348
wOBA
0.344
0.389
0.439
0.489
0.534
ISO
0.113
0.139
0.167
0.196
0.221
K%
17.7%
19.8%
22.3%
24.7%
26.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.5 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.5 · RF
70
Regression applied
Range Runs0.8 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions59.7% · rebadged research
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
50
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
27
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
28 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 514 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 20 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.320 | 0.295 to 0.367 | +/- 0.036 |
| ISO | 0.166 | 0.128 to 0.255 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 6.3% | 4.5% to 8.8% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.1% | 40.2% to 51.3% | +/- 5.6% |
| K% | 21.8% | 17.7% to 28.3% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 7.6% | 5.4% to 11.3% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.285 | 0.228 to 0.323 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
148 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.212 |
| K% | 21.1% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |
vs RHP
671 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 17.2% |
| BB% | 5.9% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |