Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Hernández, Heriberto
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
88
Exit velocity91.2
89
Hard-hit%47.4%
87
xBA0.355
86
xSLG0.694
94
xwOBA0.351
91
BB%10.9%
78
Bat speed72.2
82
K%27.0%
28
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · LF
26
Arm Strength98.7 · LF
87
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
87
Range Runs1.5 · LF
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · LF
32
SB Success Rate71.4% · LF
27
Sprint Speed28.6 · LF
83
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.6% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions69.6% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.339 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
142 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 404 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 350 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.324 | 0.266 to 0.365 | +/- 0.050 |
| ISO | 0.170 | 0.105 to 0.262 | +/- 0.079 |
| Barrel% | 5.8% | 3.1% to 9.0% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.7% | 32.2% to 52.0% | +/- 9.9% |
| K% | 25.3% | 18.6% to 29.1% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 6.5% to 12.5% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.304 | 0.273 to 0.355 | +/- 0.041 |
vs LHP
126 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.191 |
| K% | 14.7% |
| BB% | 6.7% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |
vs RHP
178 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.184 |
| K% | 14.3% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 3.5% |