Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
2
templated note
Age-31 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Fry, David
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 31
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
25
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.263 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.282 |
| Observed weight | 43% |
xwOBA
0.244
0.262
0.282
0.301
0.319
wOBA
0.314
0.336
0.361
0.387
0.409
ISO
0.132
0.155
0.182
0.208
0.231
K%
22.8%
24.7%
26.7%
28.7%
30.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
38
Exit velocity85.9
25
Hard-hit%36.2%
36
xBA0.276
12
xSLG0.436
24
xwOBA0.263
13
-30 vs proj
BB%13.3%
90
+40 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
33
K%29.1%
18
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · LF
26
Arm Strength100.6 · LF
95
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs0.5 · LF
51
Blocking Runs-0.7 · LF
Small sample
Catcher Throwing-0.4 · LF
Small sample
Framing Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Pop Time1.9 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · DH
23
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.8% · rebadged research
25
Correct Decisions64.9% · rebadged research
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.264 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
65
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
20
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
10
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
54
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
76 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.062 |
| Sample | 165 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 324 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.300 | 0.231 to 0.345 | +/- 0.057 |
| ISO | 0.172 | 0.097 to 0.260 | +/- 0.082 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 2.3% to 8.1% | +/- 2.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.8% | 30.3% to 49.0% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 26.9% | 19.7% to 31.2% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 5.6% to 11.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.204 to 0.339 | +/- 0.067 |
vs LHP
360 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |
vs RHP
386 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.202 |
| K% | 18.0% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |