Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Sep 5 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / CHC · 2026

Dean, Justin

Everyday offensive profile with usable floor

Primary
0.246 xwOBA
Range
0.066 to 0.324
Live Δ
--
Team CHC Archetype Ground-ball contact Age 30 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
75
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
69
Plate skills5 metrics
76
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-05
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
69 Regression applied
Range Runs0.8 · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-09-05
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
57
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 0.0% · rebadged research
99
Correct Decisions71.4% · rebadged research
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline125
99
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

2 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026, 2025). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Dean, Justin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 50% of plotted batted ballsPull 50%Center field third: 50% of plotted batted ballsCenter 50%Right field third: 0% of plotted batted ballsOppo 0% LF 355 CF 400 RF 353 2026-06-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 15.02025-08-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.4 / LA -39.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Dean, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 43%43%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 33%33%Zone contact: 69%69%Contact: 67%67%Hard hit: 50%50% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances202----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2460.066 to 0.324+/- 0.129
ISO0.0980.001 to 0.192+/- 0.095
Barrel%2.6%0.2% to 4.9%+/- 2.4%
Hard-Hit%30.3%6.1% to 40.2%+/- 17.1%
K%29.2%8.5% to 35.0%+/- 13.2%
BB%6.4%0.5% to 9.5%+/- 4.5%
BABIP0.2780.115 to 0.370+/- 0.127
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

0 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.0%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

22 career PA

xwOBA0.001
K%1.1%
BB%0.0%
Barrel0.0%