Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Schneemann, Daniel
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.301 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.290
0.307
0.325
0.340
wOBA
0.298
0.319
0.343
0.367
0.388
ISO
0.114
0.132
0.151
0.171
0.188
K%
24.8%
26.4%
28.2%
30.0%
31.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.3%
69
+17 vs proj
Barrel%4.3%
40
-15 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
Exit velocity87.3
36
Hard-hit%35.1%
29
-24 vs proj
K%28.8%
18
xBA0.356
79
xSLG0.572
67
xwOBA0.314
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · CF
62
Arm Strength95.8 · CF
77
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs4.1 · CF
91
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · 3B
5
Sprint Speed27.7 · 3B
61
SB Success Rate33.3% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.7% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
47
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
108 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 184 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 448 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.260 to 0.357 | +/- 0.049 |
| ISO | 0.158 | 0.099 to 0.223 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 3.0% to 8.0% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 40.8% | 35.0% to 49.3% | +/- 7.1% |
| K% | 29.2% | 22.3% to 32.4% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 9.1% | 5.7% to 12.1% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.218 to 0.341 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
115 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.193 |
| K% | 22.6% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 2.6% |
vs RHP
587 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.215 |
| K% | 20.6% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |