Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Carroll, Corbin
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.368 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.358 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Corbin Carroll's tools (85) outpace production (78) by 7 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Power Efficiency Gap. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
Field-coordinate spray profile
150 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.061 |
| Sample | 251 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 605 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 23 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.357 | 0.300 to 0.394 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.223 | 0.168 to 0.307 | +/- 0.069 |
| Barrel% | 7.3% | 4.6% to 9.2% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.9% | 37.8% to 51.8% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 20.5% | 16.6% to 25.8% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 10.8% | 8.6% to 13.4% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.263 to 0.344 | +/- 0.041 |
673 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.288 |
| K% | 17.2% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 5.1% |
1591 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.310 |
| K% | 17.8% |
| BB% | 10.1% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |