Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Baty, Brett
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.305 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.296
0.307
0.319
0.328
wOBA
0.273
0.286
0.301
0.316
0.330
ISO
0.102
0.114
0.127
0.140
0.151
K%
24.3%
25.4%
26.7%
28.0%
29.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity90.0
78
Hard-hit%42.2%
68
xBA0.338
72
xSLG0.554
67
xwOBA0.305
50
BB%8.8%
55
Bat speed73.1
90
K%27.4%
26
-21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
45
Arm Strength92.2 · 3B
83
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
12
Range Runs-0.9 · 3B
44
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · 3B
66
SB Success Rate83.3% · 3B
59
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
33
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
40
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| Sample | 430 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 447 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 16 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.311 | 0.291 to 0.345 | +/- 0.027 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.114 to 0.236 | +/- 0.061 |
| Barrel% | 6.0% | 4.4% to 8.7% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.6% | 39.2% to 49.1% | +/- 5.0% |
| K% | 23.1% | 20.9% to 30.1% | +/- 4.6% |
| BB% | 8.6% | 6.6% to 11.3% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.255 to 0.332 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
240 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.227 |
| K% | 20.5% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 4.6% |
vs RHP
870 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 19.2% |
| BB% | 7.4% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |