Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
Freeman, Cody
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team TEX
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
3
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.235 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.294 |
| Observed weight | 28% |
xwOBA
0.252
0.272
0.294
0.316
0.336
wOBA
0.268
0.299
0.334
0.368
0.399
ISO
0.089
0.114
0.141
0.169
0.193
K%
11.1%
13.7%
16.6%
19.5%
22.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.2%
5
-27 vs proj
Exit velocity79.8
2
Hard-hit%21.0%
4
-22 vs proj
xBA0.219
1
xSLG0.287
1
xwOBA0.235
5
-62 vs proj
BB%8.3%
49
+23 vs proj
Bat speed63.7
4
K%14.3%
90
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 3B
72
Arm Runs-0.0 · 3B
Small sample
Range Runs1.5 · 3B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · 3B
35
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.0% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 36.5% · rebadged research
3
Correct Decisions60.4% · rebadged research
8
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.302 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
49 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.083 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| Sample | 84 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 262 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.318 | 0.235 to 0.341 | +/- 0.053 |
| ISO | 0.135 | 0.080 to 0.222 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 3.7% | 1.1% to 5.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 32.7% | 22.4% to 41.0% | +/- 9.3% |
| K% | 16.1% | 11.1% to 25.9% | +/- 7.4% |
| BB% | 6.4% | 1.4% to 9.7% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.300 | 0.243 to 0.339 | +/- 0.048 |
vs LHP
52 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 5.0% |
| BB% | 1.5% |
| Barrel | 1.5% |
vs RHP
77 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.094 |
| K% | 5.3% |
| BB% | 1.5% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |