Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Caissie, Owen
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.249 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.281 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Owen Caissie's tools (85) outpace production (82) by 3 points. Primary finding: excessive fly-ball angle — producing popups instead of line drives. Also flagged: Passive In-Zone Approach.
Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrailField-coordinate spray profile
90 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.058 |
| Sample | 255 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 215 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.283 | 0.111 to 0.261 | +/- 0.075 |
| ISO | 0.139 | 0.027 to 0.234 | +/- 0.103 |
| Barrel% | 5.0% | 0.2% to 6.2% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 31.0% | 9.7% to 40.1% | +/- 15.2% |
| K% | 27.2% | 12.3% to 37.0% | +/- 12.4% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 1.5% to 10.4% | +/- 4.5% |
| BABIP | 0.275 | 0.151 to 0.338 | +/- 0.093 |
6 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.022 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.6% |
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.024 |
| K% | 5.4% |
| BB% | 0.7% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |