Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
35
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.265 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.282 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.236
0.258
0.282
0.306
0.328
wOBA
0.317
0.334
0.353
0.372
0.389
ISO
0.111
0.131
0.153
0.175
0.195
K%
15.6%
18.7%
22.1%
25.5%
28.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.4%
25
Exit velocity87.9
47
Hard-hit%37.4%
44
xBA0.293
23
xSLG0.456
30
xwOBA0.295
38
BB%11.2%
79
+39 vs proj
Bat speed67.3
22
K%21.4%
57
+23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · 2B
90
Arm Strength85.3 · 2B
38
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · 2B
10
Range Runs-2.8 · 2B
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · 2B
94
Bolts2.0 · 2B
33
SB Success Rate84.6% · 2B
64
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
77
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.8% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions70.1% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
5
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
19
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
114 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.055 |
| Sample | 294 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.133 to 0.326 | +/- 0.097 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.024 to 0.205 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 13.7% to 38.7% | +/- 12.5% |
| K% | 25.6% | 7.6% to 36.5% | +/- 14.5% |
| BB% | 7.8% | 1.8% to 9.7% | +/- 4.0% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.196 to 0.365 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |