Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Meckler, Wade
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
37
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.238 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.312 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 54% |
xwOBA
0.235
0.255
0.278
0.301
0.321
wOBA
0.316
0.334
0.354
0.374
0.392
ISO
0.045
0.068
0.093
0.118
0.140
K%
17.6%
20.6%
23.8%
27.1%
30.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.9%
11
Exit velocity84.8
18
Hard-hit%32.4%
25
xBA0.337
72
xSLG0.464
35
xwOBA0.312
60
+49 vs proj
BB%9.9%
67
+19 vs proj
Bat speed65.8
11
K%20.2%
65
+59 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · LF
62
Arm Strength93.8 · LF
54
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs1.6 · LF
66
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · LF
72
Bolts23.0 · LF
76
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
94
Sprint Speed28.8 · LF
86
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.6% · rebadged research
92
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions70.8% · rebadged research
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
18
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
91
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
91 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.059 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.101 |
| Sample | 263 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.253 | 0.131 to 0.300 | +/- 0.084 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.020 to 0.222 | +/- 0.101 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.5% | 11.9% to 40.5% | +/- 14.3% |
| K% | 33.6% | 13.7% to 41.1% | +/- 13.7% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 2.4% to 11.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.140 to 0.359 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
14 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.033 |
| K% | 6.6% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
70 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.036 |
| K% | 6.5% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |