Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.291 vs 0.248 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Pasquantino, Vinnie
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.322 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.309
0.322
0.334
0.346
wOBA
0.265
0.282
0.302
0.321
0.339
ISO
0.122
0.136
0.153
0.169
0.184
K%
14.1%
15.3%
16.7%
18.0%
19.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%10.8%
72
+31 vs proj
Barrel%5.6%
57
Bat speed67.9
26
Exit velocity88.5
50
Hard-hit%36.4%
35
-35 vs proj
K%17.9%
75
xBA0.299
29
xSLG0.485
41
xwOBA0.309
49
-21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
45
Range Runs-0.4 · 1B
38
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · 1B
41
Sprint Speed25.4 · 1B
10
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.1% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.244 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
70
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
171 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.031 |
| Sample | 251 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 610 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 23 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.333 | 0.318 to 0.376 | +/- 0.029 |
| ISO | 0.185 | 0.146 to 0.265 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 6.4% | 4.4% to 8.4% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.6% | 40.7% to 51.5% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 15.4% | 11.6% to 20.2% | +/- 4.3% |
| BB% | 8.0% | 5.6% to 11.5% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.269 | 0.238 to 0.313 | +/- 0.038 |
vs LHP
438 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.248 |
| K% | 16.1% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 4.0% |
vs RHP
1462 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.291 |
| K% | 11.3% |
| BB% | 6.8% |
| Barrel | 6.4% |