Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Canzone, Dominic
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.366 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.337 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Dominic Canzone's tools (87) outpace production (71) by 16 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Passive In-Zone Approach.
Field-coordinate spray profile
102 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.073 |
| Sample | 154 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 379 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 15 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.323 | 0.276 to 0.351 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.173 | 0.114 to 0.249 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 7.1% | 4.8% to 9.7% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.8% to 51.0% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 23.4% | 18.4% to 31.5% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 7.3% | 4.9% to 10.5% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.277 | 0.209 to 0.334 | +/- 0.062 |
127 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.215 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |
607 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.241 |
| K% | 16.4% |
| BB% | 4.9% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |