Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Crews, Dylan
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.318 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.319 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.288
0.303
0.319
0.336
0.351
wOBA
0.247
0.267
0.289
0.310
0.330
ISO
0.095
0.114
0.136
0.158
0.177
K%
19.5%
20.9%
22.3%
23.8%
25.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity90.1
75
Hard-hit%42.2%
64
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.560
67
xwOBA0.318
63
BB%5.6%
18
-23 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%23.2%
44
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
39
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs2.4 · RF
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · RF
79
Bolts4.0 · RF
50
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
93
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
94
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
61 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.036 |
| Sample | 198 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 388 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.324 | 0.285 to 0.377 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.153 | 0.075 to 0.222 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 5.6% | 2.7% to 8.0% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 41.4% | 34.8% to 49.5% | +/- 7.4% |
| K% | 22.5% | 19.8% to 27.7% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 7.9% | 5.4% to 10.8% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.290 | 0.241 to 0.326 | +/- 0.042 |
vs LHP
128 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.211 |
| K% | 14.8% |
| BB% | 5.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |
vs RHP
359 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.210 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 4.1% |