Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.242 vs 0.205 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Massey, Michael
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.306 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.283
0.294
0.307
0.319
0.331
wOBA
0.301
0.315
0.332
0.348
0.363
ISO
0.135
0.149
0.165
0.181
0.196
K%
14.7%
16.0%
17.5%
19.1%
20.4%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
49
Exit velocity88.7
61
Hard-hit%40.7%
60
+15 vs proj
xBA0.306
35
xSLG0.499
50
xwOBA0.306
52
BB%5.3%
17
Bat speed69.9
54
K%16.4%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
19
Arm Strength85.2 · 2B
33
Outs Above Avg8.0 · 2B
94
Range Runs5.6 · 2B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.8 · 2B
15
Sprint Speed26.9 · 2B
35
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
27
Correct Decisions63.0% · rebadged research
21
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
12
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
21
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample
10
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.371 · validated
21
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
168 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.027 |
| Sample | 377 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 388 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.275 to 0.351 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.169 | 0.112 to 0.254 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 5.2% | 2.8% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.3% | 34.3% to 46.3% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 17.7% | 14.6% to 27.8% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 4.8% | 3.3% to 7.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.284 | 0.227 to 0.338 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
259 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 17.4% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
1119 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.242 |
| K% | 13.5% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |