Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Profile still plays best against righties (0.242 vs 0.205 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / KC · 2026
Massey, Michael
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team KC
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.308 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.273 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.296 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.265
0.280
0.296
0.312
0.326
wOBA
0.238
0.263
0.291
0.319
0.344
ISO
0.124
0.147
0.173
0.199
0.222
K%
14.8%
16.9%
19.3%
21.7%
23.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%4.2%
9
Barrel%6.7%
71
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
54
Exit velocity90.1
72
Hard-hit%42.4%
61
+22 vs proj
K%19.2%
67
xBA0.256
6
xSLG0.492
44
xwOBA0.273
18
-27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
16
Arm Strength81.7 · 2B
19
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
88
Range Runs2.6 · 2B
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · 2B
12
Sprint Speed27.0 · 2B
42
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.4% · rebadged research
21
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.2% · rebadged research
22
Correct Decisions62.3% · rebadged research
16
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.295 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.304 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
64
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
14
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
90 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| Sample | 120 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 388 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.275 to 0.351 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.169 | 0.112 to 0.254 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 5.2% | 2.8% to 7.4% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.3% | 34.3% to 46.4% | +/- 6.0% |
| K% | 17.7% | 14.6% to 27.8% | +/- 6.6% |
| BB% | 4.8% | 3.3% to 7.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.284 | 0.227 to 0.338 | +/- 0.055 |
vs LHP
259 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.205 |
| K% | 17.4% |
| BB% | 3.2% |
| Barrel | 3.2% |
vs RHP
1119 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.242 |
| K% | 13.5% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 4.2% |