Increase in-zone swing rate, especially on fastballs in favorable counts
Hittable takes / Expansion guardrail
Sogard, Nick
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.318 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.304 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Nick Sogard's production (87) outpaces the tools grade (80) by 7 points. Primary finding: excellent plate discipline but too passive on hittable pitches — letting strikes go by.
Field-coordinate spray profile
87 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.066 |
| Sample | 186 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 273 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 5 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.296 | 0.215 to 0.331 | +/- 0.058 |
| ISO | 0.137 | 0.056 to 0.188 | +/- 0.066 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.7% to 5.5% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.0% | 21.6% to 43.3% | +/- 10.9% |
| K% | 24.0% | 17.7% to 29.3% | +/- 5.8% |
| BB% | 6.1% | 2.9% to 9.4% | +/- 3.2% |
| BABIP | 0.303 | 0.246 to 0.354 | +/- 0.054 |
67 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.140 |
| K% | 12.0% |
| BB% | 3.1% |
| Barrel | 1.3% |
167 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.134 |
| K% | 12.4% |
| BB% | 3.0% |
| Barrel | 1.1% |