Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
54
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.334 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.304 |
| Observed weight | 49% |
xwOBA
0.265
0.283
0.304
0.324
0.342
wOBA
0.277
0.296
0.318
0.339
0.359
ISO
0.077
0.100
0.124
0.149
0.171
K%
13.1%
15.2%
17.5%
19.8%
21.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
45
Exit velocity89.1
61
Hard-hit%41.9%
63
+33 vs proj
xBA0.312
39
xSLG0.494
43
xwOBA0.334
74
+48 vs proj
BB%8.1%
44
+18 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
51
K%14.2%
88
+38 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.5 · 1B
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
28
Range Runs-1.2 · 1B
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · 1B
32
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.4% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
27
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
81
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.339 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
114 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
| Sample | 211 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 214 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 4 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.282 | 0.178 to 0.308 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.028 to 0.202 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 1.3% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 21.3% to 44.9% | +/- 11.8% |
| K% | 22.1% | 13.5% to 29.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.1% to 9.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.196 to 0.347 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
112 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 8.2% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
264 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.112 |
| K% | 7.8% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |