Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 39% |
xwOBA
0.254
0.275
0.298
0.322
0.343
wOBA
0.264
0.288
0.314
0.341
0.364
ISO
0.066
0.092
0.121
0.150
0.176
K%
11.4%
13.8%
16.5%
19.2%
21.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.2%
56
+31 vs proj
Barrel%5.0%
48
Bat speed69.9
53
Exit velocity90.1
71
Hard-hit%46.4%
77
+50 vs proj
K%9.9%
99
+50 vs proj
xBA0.295
26
xSLG0.470
37
xwOBA0.338
74
+49 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.5 · 2B
86
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
45
Range Runs-1.7 · 2B
22
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · 2B
36
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
29
Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
73
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
100 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.056 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| Sample | 141 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 214 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 4 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.282 | 0.178 to 0.308 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.028 to 0.202 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 1.3% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 21.3% to 44.9% | +/- 11.8% |
| K% | 22.1% | 13.5% to 29.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.1% to 9.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.196 to 0.347 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
112 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 8.2% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
264 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.112 |
| K% | 7.8% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |