Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / COL · 2026
Fulford, Braxton
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team COL
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 28
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.258 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.174 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.247 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.188
0.216
0.247
0.278
0.306
wOBA
0.312
0.364
0.422
0.480
0.532
ISO
0.061
0.097
0.137
0.177
0.213
K%
19.2%
23.1%
27.4%
31.8%
35.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.0 · C
Limited
Framing Runs-0.1 · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.9% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
73
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
33
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
74
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
22 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 263 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.287 | 0.183 to 0.317 | +/- 0.067 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.047 to 0.220 | +/- 0.086 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 1.0% to 6.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.6% | 22.4% to 46.1% | +/- 11.9% |
| K% | 29.5% | 18.0% to 36.7% | +/- 9.3% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 3.3% to 10.0% | +/- 3.3% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.207 to 0.370 | +/- 0.081 |
vs LHP
46 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.095 |
| K% | 10.0% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
84 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.086 |
| K% | 11.4% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |