Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Halpin, Petey
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CLE
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
18
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.267 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.233 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.259 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
xwOBA
0.168
0.211
0.259
0.307
0.350
wOBA
0.151
0.181
0.213
0.246
0.276
ISO
0.008
0.040
0.076
0.113
0.145
K%
15.7%
21.0%
26.9%
32.8%
38.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
38
Exit velocity82.3
5
Hard-hit%26.1%
9
-19 vs proj
xBA0.302
27
xSLG0.451
28
xwOBA0.233
4
-23 vs proj
BB%4.2%
9
-30 vs proj
Bat speed66.2
13
K%31.0%
13
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength97.9 · CF
87
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Arm Runs2.7 · CF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.1 · CF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.2 · CF
73
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.3% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
62
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
43
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.276 · validated thin sample
64
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
31 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.051 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.070 |
| Sample | 71 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 204 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.284 | 0.106 to 0.342 | +/- 0.118 |
| ISO | 0.121 | 0.014 to 0.195 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.3% | +/- 2.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 33.9% | 6.6% to 39.4% | +/- 16.4% |
| K% | 29.7% | 9.6% to 38.9% | +/- 14.6% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 0.7% to 10.7% | +/- 5.0% |
| BABIP | 0.314 | 0.156 to 0.367 | +/- 0.106 |
vs LHP
3 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.009 |
| K% | 1.5% |
| BB% | 0.8% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
11 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.010 |
| K% | 1.4% |
| BB% | 0.9% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |