Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Romo, Drew
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
18
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.218 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.252 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.230 |
| Observed weight | 36% |
xwOBA
0.171
0.199
0.230
0.261
0.289
wOBA
0.210
0.234
0.260
0.286
0.310
ISO
0.063
0.093
0.125
0.158
0.188
K%
19.7%
23.9%
28.4%
33.0%
37.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
+32 vs proj
Exit velocity83.3
8
Hard-hit%29.1%
13
xBA0.245
3
xSLG0.417
17
xwOBA0.252
8
BB%9.5%
62
+48 vs proj
Bat speed67.0
19
K%26.2%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
38
Catcher Throwing0.7 · C
74
Framing Runs0.6 · C
61
Pop Time1.9 · C
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.1 · C
20
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.9% · rebadged research
71
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
75
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
53 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.042 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.050 |
| Sample | 126 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.210 | 0.109 to 0.286 | +/- 0.089 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.021 to 0.211 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.0% | 8.9% to 43.2% | +/- 17.2% |
| K% | 29.4% | 13.0% to 39.7% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 0.6% to 9.7% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.261 | 0.122 to 0.349 | +/- 0.113 |
vs LHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.027 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.2% |
vs RHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.029 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |