Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Romo, Drew
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CWS
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.218 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.244 |
| Observed weight | 26% |
xwOBA
0.176
0.208
0.244
0.279
0.311
wOBA
0.286
0.319
0.356
0.392
0.425
ISO
0.071
0.105
0.143
0.181
0.216
K%
18.3%
23.0%
28.3%
33.6%
38.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.5%
77
+63 vs proj
Barrel%7.7%
80
+53 vs proj
Bat speed67.2
22
Exit velocity84.7
13
Hard-hit%33.3%
24
K%24.4%
36
+21 vs proj
xBA0.294
26
xSLG0.529
56
xwOBA0.317
57
+54 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.9 · C
12
Catcher Throwing0.9 · C
74
Framing Runs0.5 · C
59
Pop Time2.0 · C
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · C
20
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.4% · rebadged research
49
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
86
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
13
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
44 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.107 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.146 |
| Sample | 78 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.210 | 0.109 to 0.286 | +/- 0.089 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.021 to 0.211 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 3.4% | 0.2% to 5.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.0% | 8.9% to 43.2% | +/- 17.2% |
| K% | 29.4% | 13.0% to 39.7% | +/- 13.4% |
| BB% | 5.1% | 0.6% to 9.7% | +/- 4.6% |
| BABIP | 0.261 | 0.122 to 0.345 | +/- 0.111 |
vs LHP
22 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.027 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.2% |
vs RHP
47 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.029 |
| K% | 5.8% |
| BB% | 0.6% |
| Barrel | 0.3% |