Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / PIT · 2026

Garcia, Jhostynxon

Young power bat with breakout ceiling

Primary
0.281 xwOBA
Range
0.104 to 0.336
Live Δ
--
Team PIT Archetype Impact slugger Age 24 Status Out / inactive
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
47
Offense
percentile
Defense1 metrics
46
Speed1 metrics
58
Plate skills9 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.272
xwOBA current pace0.282
xwOBA rolling p500.274
Observed weight18%
xwOBA
0.177 0.223 0.274 0.325 0.371
wOBA
0.162 0.200 0.242 0.284 0.322
ISO
0.010 0.042 0.077 0.112 0.144
K%
16.7% 22.0% 27.8% 33.7% 39.0%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Arm Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · CF
58
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 49.1% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 16.1% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions58.4% · rebadged research
6
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.274 · borderline
79
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
65
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
35
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
19
Rolling form chart

xwOBA allowed snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

0 snapshots
No chart yet

No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

21 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Garcia, Jhostynxon · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 14% of plotted batted ballsPull 14%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 24% of plotted batted ballsOppo 24% LF 325 CF 399 RF 320 2026-03-15 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 74.3 / LA 49.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -15.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 22.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 50.6 / LA 46.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 73.3 / LA 60.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 5.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 15.02026-05-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 11.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 68.8 / LA 18.02026-05-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA 5.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -4.02026-05-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 13.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 36.0 / LA -3.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 56.02026-05-25 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 0.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -5.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 16.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 32.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 27.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

No bat tracking

No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Garcia, Jhostynxon · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 41%41%Chase: 45%45%Whiff: 34%34%Zone contact: 74%74%Contact: 66%66%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
hitter
Live context

Current-season signal

No Live State delta is available for this player yet.

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances205----
Home Runs6----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.2810.104 to 0.336+/- 0.116
ISO0.1370.043 to 0.206+/- 0.081
Barrel%4.1%0.2% to 5.5%+/- 2.6%
Hard-Hit%35.3%9.0% to 42.1%+/- 16.6%
K%29.3%10.2% to 37.1%+/- 13.4%
BB%6.9%0.7% to 10.0%+/- 4.6%
BABIP0.3010.128 to 0.354+/- 0.113
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

9 career PA

xwOBA0.012
K%2.3%
BB%0.9%
Barrel0.0%
vs RHP

4 career PA

xwOBA0.011
K%2.3%
BB%0.7%
Barrel0.0%