Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / STL · 2026
Jordan, Blaze
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team STL
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
88
Exit velocity88.3
54
Hard-hit%45.0%
80
xBA0.318
51
xSLG0.507
54
xwOBA0.317
68
BB%3.5%
5
Bat speed71.5
76
K%15.0%
89
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength86.5 · 3B
46
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 3B
73
Range Runs1.2 · 3B
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · 3B
13
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 56.9% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.7% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions60.6% · rebadged research
9
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
18
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
79
Resists FastballwOBA 0.326 · validated
72
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
66 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
| Sample | 200 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.295 | 0.105 to 0.272 | +/- 0.083 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.022 to 0.216 | +/- 0.097 |
| Barrel% | 4.6% | 0.2% to 6.8% | +/- 3.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 35.1% | 9.5% to 44.2% | +/- 17.3% |
| K% | 27.3% | 9.5% to 38.3% | +/- 14.4% |
| BB% | 6.5% | 1.0% to 9.2% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.131 to 0.360 | +/- 0.115 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.3% |
| BB% | 0.1% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.4% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |