Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
Sanoja, Javier
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
15
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.303 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.275 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.259
0.273
0.288
0.304
0.318
wOBA
0.301
0.319
0.340
0.360
0.378
ISO
0.108
0.127
0.148
0.169
0.188
K%
9.1%
10.2%
11.5%
12.7%
13.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.2%
6
Exit velocity86.0
26
Hard-hit%31.6%
20
-22 vs proj
xBA0.282
15
xSLG0.354
4
xwOBA0.275
20
BB%5.6%
18
Bat speed67.7
25
K%8.8%
99
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
10
Arm Strength87.3 · 3B
59
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs0.4 · 3B
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.0 · 3B
42
Bolts14.0 · 3B
73
SB Success Rate80.0% · 3B
45
Sprint Speed28.7 · 3B
86
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.0% · rebadged research
53
Correct Decisions60.8% · rebadged research
11
Fastball Stuff+61
0
Mithrandir Stuff+52
1
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
68
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
21
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
129 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.061 |
| Sample | 250 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 384 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.279 | 0.250 to 0.345 | +/- 0.048 |
| ISO | 0.148 | 0.082 to 0.241 | +/- 0.080 |
| Barrel% | 2.3% | 0.2% to 4.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.0% | 28.1% to 43.4% | +/- 7.7% |
| K% | 12.5% | 10.8% to 19.6% | +/- 4.4% |
| BB% | 6.0% | 3.6% to 9.6% | +/- 3.0% |
| BABIP | 0.287 | 0.265 to 0.324 | +/- 0.029 |
vs LHP
162 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.179 |
| K% | 7.0% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 0.8% |
vs RHP
243 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.176 |
| K% | 7.4% |
| BB% | 3.7% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |