Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
House, Brady
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Out / inactive
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.320 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.288
0.305
0.321
0.336
wOBA
0.302
0.322
0.345
0.369
0.389
ISO
0.111
0.129
0.148
0.167
0.185
K%
22.6%
24.2%
25.9%
27.7%
29.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%7.3%
32
+24 vs proj
Barrel%6.2%
66
+26 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
78
Exit velocity89.6
63
Hard-hit%45.2%
72
K%26.9%
26
xBA0.363
82
xSLG0.618
78
xwOBA0.320
59
+19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · 3B
6
Range Runs-3.0 · 3B
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · 3B
22
Sprint Speed28.0 · 3B
69
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.4% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.4% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
36
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.329 · borderline
4
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.252 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
38
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336 · validated
90
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
127 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.020 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.046 |
| Sample | 193 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 339 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.254 to 0.346 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.075 to 0.199 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 1.3% to 6.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.3% | 35.7% to 50.3% | +/- 7.3% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.5% to 29.9% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% | 2.2% to 7.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.257 to 0.346 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
84 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.161 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
202 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.154 |
| K% | 14.9% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |