Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
House, Brady
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team WSH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.337 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.290
0.303
0.318
0.332
0.346
wOBA
0.307
0.324
0.342
0.361
0.377
ISO
0.117
0.131
0.147
0.163
0.177
K%
23.1%
24.5%
26.0%
27.5%
28.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
76
+35 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
82
Hard-hit%49.0%
91
+18 vs proj
xBA0.379
95
xSLG0.647
89
xwOBA0.337
82
+37 vs proj
BB%7.3%
34
+25 vs proj
Bat speed72.2
81
K%26.7%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength88.8 · 3B
62
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-1.4 · 3B
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.0 · 3B
66
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.9% · rebadged research
28
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.0% · rebadged research
62
Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
35
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.349 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.248 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
78
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
170 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.037 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| Sample | 303 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 339 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.299 | 0.254 to 0.346 | +/- 0.046 |
| ISO | 0.140 | 0.075 to 0.199 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 1.3% to 6.0% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.3% | 35.7% to 50.3% | +/- 7.3% |
| K% | 24.4% | 19.5% to 29.9% | +/- 5.2% |
| BB% | 4.2% | 2.2% to 7.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.257 to 0.346 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
84 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.161 |
| K% | 15.1% |
| BB% | 1.8% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |
vs RHP
202 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.154 |
| K% | 14.9% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |