Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.222 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.261 |
| Observed weight | 24% |
xwOBA
0.188
0.223
0.261
0.300
0.334
wOBA
0.163
0.194
0.229
0.263
0.294
ISO
0.052
0.078
0.107
0.136
0.162
K%
16.8%
21.8%
27.4%
33.1%
38.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%5.9%
19
-28 vs proj
Barrel%2.9%
23
-17 vs proj
Bat speed73.0
89
Exit velocity89.3
60
Hard-hit%35.7%
31
K%32.4%
6
-16 vs proj
xBA0.279
15
xSLG0.403
16
xwOBA0.222
4
-26 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
53
Catcher Throwing0.9 · C
71
Framing Runs0.9 · C
62
Pop Time1.9 · C
85
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
30
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions72.0% · rebadged research
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.280 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated
55
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.361 · validated
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
38 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.067 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.060 |
| Sample | 68 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.139 to 0.326 | +/- 0.094 |
| ISO | 0.144 | 0.070 to 0.212 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 0.2% to 6.6% | +/- 3.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.7% | 14.1% to 42.6% | +/- 14.2% |
| K% | 27.9% | 9.3% to 36.9% | +/- 13.8% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 2.0% to 9.7% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.186 to 0.357 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |