Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / MIA · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team MIA
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.273 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.290 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.236
0.262
0.290
0.319
0.344
wOBA
0.282
0.303
0.327
0.351
0.373
ISO
0.104
0.124
0.147
0.170
0.190
K%
16.8%
20.5%
24.7%
28.9%
32.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
62
+22 vs proj
Exit velocity87.4
40
Hard-hit%37.3%
43
xBA0.321
50
xSLG0.552
64
xwOBA0.311
55
+25 vs proj
BB%6.9%
30
-23 vs proj
Bat speed72.6
84
K%23.1%
45
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
41
Catcher Throwing3.3 · C
97
Framing Runs2.9 · C
84
Pop Time1.9 · C
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.5 · C
27
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.8% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions72.5% · rebadged research
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
33
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
89
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
57 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 173 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 200 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 7 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.289 | 0.146 to 0.326 | +/- 0.090 |
| ISO | 0.144 | 0.070 to 0.212 | +/- 0.071 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 0.2% to 6.6% | +/- 3.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.8% | 14.2% to 42.6% | +/- 14.2% |
| K% | 27.9% | 9.3% to 36.9% | +/- 13.8% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 2.0% to 9.7% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.289 | 0.187 to 0.357 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
1 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.7% |
| BB% | 0.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |