Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Schanuel, Nolan
On-base driven regular with stable floor
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.335 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.323 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Nolan Schanuel's tools (93) outpace production (78) by 15 points. Primary finding: expanding the zone too aggressively — generating weak contact and whiffs on pitcher's pitches. Also flagged: Launch Angle Too High; Contact-Discipline Mismatch.
Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment
Protected takes / Chase riskField-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.031 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.001 |
| Sample | 225 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 559 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 13 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.342 | 0.309 to 0.394 | +/- 0.043 |
| ISO | 0.143 | 0.112 to 0.215 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.1% to 6.2% | +/- 2.1% |
| Hard-Hit% | 30.8% | 27.2% to 38.0% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 13.5% | 12.0% to 19.9% | +/- 3.9% |
| BB% | 10.7% | 8.6% to 14.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.260 to 0.329 | +/- 0.035 |
309 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 13.1% |
| BB% | 9.4% |
| Barrel | 2.2% |
1038 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.285 |
| K% | 11.7% |
| BB% | 10.0% |
| Barrel | 3.1% |