Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
Hitter projection / TEX · 2026
Langford, Wyatt
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team TEX
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
57
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.325 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.301
0.313
0.325
0.338
0.349
wOBA
0.338
0.353
0.370
0.386
0.401
ISO
0.171
0.183
0.197
0.210
0.223
K%
18.4%
19.6%
20.8%
22.1%
23.2%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
72
Hard-hit%40.3%
58
-23 vs proj
xBA0.314
44
xSLG0.513
55
xwOBA0.316
64
-23 vs proj
BB%9.9%
67
Bat speed70.8
69
K%20.4%
64
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.5 · LF
62
Arm Strength90.0 · LF
21
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
87
Range Runs2.8 · LF
78
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
56
Bolts1.0 · LF
12
SB Success Rate81.8% · LF
55
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
75
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.9% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
75
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
32
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
157 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.026 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.028 |
| Sample | 383 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 556 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 19 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.342 | 0.319 to 0.396 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.178 | 0.147 to 0.253 | +/- 0.053 |
| Barrel% | 7.4% | 5.2% to 9.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 45.5% | 40.8% to 52.9% | +/- 6.1% |
| K% | 22.4% | 18.0% to 27.4% | +/- 4.7% |
| BB% | 10.7% | 9.0% to 14.8% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.298 | 0.254 to 0.341 | +/- 0.044 |
vs LHP
292 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.295 |
| K% | 18.4% |
| BB% | 12.4% |
| Barrel | 6.8% |
vs RHP
890 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.270 |
| K% | 18.8% |
| BB% | 8.3% |
| Barrel | 5.9% |