Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Ford, Harry
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team WSH
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.282 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.264 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.277 |
| Observed weight | 30% |
xwOBA
0.214
0.244
0.277
0.310
0.340
wOBA
0.257
0.287
0.319
0.352
0.381
ISO
0.067
0.099
0.136
0.172
0.204
K%
19.2%
24.0%
29.3%
34.6%
39.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
57
Exit velocity83.6
9
Hard-hit%29.8%
16
-24 vs proj
xBA0.241
3
xSLG0.414
18
xwOBA0.264
15
-45 vs proj
BB%11.8%
87
+54 vs proj
Bat speed66.0
12
K%24.7%
39
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.1 · C
58
Catcher Throwing-0.7 · C
32
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
48
Pop Time1.9 · C
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.3 · C
47
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.9% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.4% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions77.3% · rebadged research
99
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
52
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
64
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.346 · validated
76
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline120
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
29 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.006 |
| Sample | 93 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 209 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.313 | 0.130 to 0.302 | +/- 0.086 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.021 to 0.212 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 0.5% to 6.6% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.3% | 10.7% to 40.8% | +/- 15.1% |
| K% | 30.2% | 11.7% to 39.9% | +/- 14.1% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 0.9% to 11.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| BABIP | 0.307 | 0.163 to 0.351 | +/- 0.094 |
vs LHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.023 |
| K% | 2.9% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |
vs RHP
15 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.022 |
| K% | 3.0% |
| BB% | 1.4% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |